Monday, March 10, 2014

Daily Fantasy Basketball: FanDuel Values for March 10th

If you play daily fantasy sports (and who doesn't these days?!), you know that one of the keys to success is uncovering undervalued players to allow you to load up on studs elsewhere.

In case you've never played daily fantasy basketball, every player has a salary and your roster cannot exceed the game's salary-cap maximum.

For FanDuel leagues, rosters consist of nine players and the salary cap is $60,000, which averages to roughly $6,667 per player. To give you an idea of the range for Monday's games, Miami SF LeBron James ($11,200) has the contest's highest salary while many are tied for the lowest at the game-minimum salary ($3,500).

There are a number of benefits compared to traditional full-season re-draft leagues, such as:
  • you don't have to worry about being saddled by players sidelined by injury;
  • having a late pick doesn't rule out owning studs like Kevin Durant or LeBron James;
  • you get the instant gratification of winning your league(s) that night.
And you know that enthusiasm you have after drafting your fantasy team(s)? Well, you get to experience that feeling on a nightly basis with daily fantasy basketball.

OK, with the preliminary stuff out of the way, here are some value plays to consider for Monday (March 10th) FanDuel leagues:

PG - Raymond Felton, New York Knicks (vs. PHI), $5,600: Felton has been inconsistent with 41.6, 11.9 and 29.0 fantasy points in his past three games, respectively. With the Sixers coming to MSG, however, it's certainly possible that Felton has one of his better games. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing point guards this season than the Sixers.

PG - Greivis Vasquez, Toronto Raptors (at BKN), $3,900: An even cheaper option is Vasquez, who scored 23.7 fantasy points against the T'Wolves last night with 12 points, six boards and three assists. In his past five games, Vasquez has scored 20-plus fantasy points three times and even had 38.4 fantasy points once during that span.

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SG - Joe Johnson, Brooklyn Nets (vs. TOR), $5,400: More than $1,200 cheaper than the average starter cost, Johnson has been on a roll recently with three consecutive games with 30-plus fantasy points. During that three-game stretch, Johnson has averaged 20.0 points, 3.67 rebounds, 3.67 assists and 1.33 steals per game.

SG - Chris Douglas-Roberts, Charlotte Bobcats (vs. DEN), $4,000: Douglas-Roberts has scored 20-plus fantasy points in three consecutive games. During that span, CDR has averaged 13.67 points, 4.33 rebounds and 2.33 steals per game. The Nuggets have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season.

SG - Marcus Thornton, Brooklyn Nets (vs. TOR), $3,700: It's been a roller-coaster ride for Thornton owners in FanDuel leagues. Here are his last five point totals: 26.4, 3.0, 28.4, 15.8 and 35.1. Coming off his best fantasy outing, Thornton scored 27 points and added three rebounds, two steals and an assist. Hopefully, he finally puts together solid back-to-back games tonight.

SG - Iman Shumpert, New York Knicks (vs. PHI), $3,600: Over his past four games, Shumpert's minutes have increased from 16 to 21 to 27 to 31 on Saturday. Since returning from injury, Shumpert not only had a high in minutes, but he had a high in fantasy production (20.5) as well. Only the Lakers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing SGs than the Sixers this season.

SF - Khris Middleton, Milwaukee Bucks (vs. ORL), $4,900: Middleton has scored at least 23.3 fantasy points in five of his past six games including his last three games. The Magic have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.

SF - Maurice Harkless, Orlando Magic (at MIL), $4,600: While I like Middleton, I like Harkless more — and he's $300 cheaper. Harkless has scored a minimum of 22.1 fantasy points in six consecutive games and he has at least 29.7 fantasy points in each of his past three games. Over his past six games, Harkless has averaged 14.33 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.83 steals and 1.16 blocks in 36.17 minutes per game.

PF - Kenneth Faried, Denver Nuggets (at CHA), $6,500: The Manimal. His price goes up, but I don't care. And technically, he's still cheaper (by $167) than the average cost of a FanDuel starter. Over his past five games, Faried has scored at least 29.6 fantasy points and averaged 38.92 per game. With three double-doubles in that stretch, he has averaged 21.4 points, 10.6 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocks per game over the last five.

PF - Derrick Favors, Utah Jazz (vs. ATL), $5,900: As expected, Favors bounced back nicely with a double-double (15 points, 14 rebounds) against the league's worst defense in Philly on Saturday. The matchup isn't as favorable tonight, but Favors' modest cost makes him a solid option for tonight.

PF - Marcus Morris, Phoenix Suns (at LAC), $4,100: Cheaper than his twin, Morris has scored in double digits in five consecutive games and he has averaged 23.4 fantasy points per game during that span. The Clips have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season, but Morris had his five-game low (15.9 fantasy points) against them on March 4th.

C - Nikola Vucevic, Orlando Magic (at MIL), $7,400: Aside from stud center Al Jefferson, there are several other centers that I like tonight. Vucevic and Tyson Chandler and solid mid-priced options. Vucevic has posted double-doubles and scored 33-plus fantasy points six consecutive games. While barely averaging more than 30 minutes per game (30.33), Vucevic has averaged 18.33 points, 12.83 rebounds, 2.33 assists, 1.17 steals and 1.00 blocks per game during that span. Even better, the Bucks have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season.

C - Tyson Chandler, New York Knicks (vs. PHI), $7,000: While the Bucks have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers, the Sixers have allowed the second-most. Over his past 10 games, Chandler has averaged 34.45 fantasy points and scored a minimum of 26.9 in all 10 of those games. An absolute beast on the boards, Chandler has averaged 15.0 rebounds, 12.3 points and 1.1 blocks during that stretch.

[Update: Chandler will miss tonight's game due to personal reasons.  Amar'e Stoudemire is an excellent value at $4,200.]

C - Enes Kanter, Utah Jazz (vs. ATL), $5,600: With at least 23 minutes in five consecutive games, Kanter has four consecutive games with at least 20 fantasy points. The Hawks have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. Over his past four games, Kanter is averaging 15.0 points and 10.25 rebounds per game.

C - Kyle O'Quinn, Orlando Magic (at MIL), $4,700: As noted above, the Magic's centers have a favorable matchup tonight. Even though he has played less than 20 minutes in three consecutive games, O'Quinn has scored 20-plus fantasy points in four consecutive games. In his last game against the Bucks (Feb. 18th), O'Quinn didn't score in the game, but still managed to finish with 24.3 fantasy points in 21 minutes.

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