Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Daily Fantasy Basketball: FanDuel Values for March 26th

If you play daily fantasy sports (and who doesn't these days?!), you know that one of the keys to success is uncovering undervalued players to allow you to load up on studs elsewhere.

In case you've never played daily fantasy basketball, every player has a salary and your roster cannot exceed the game's salary-cap maximum.

For FanDuel leagues, rosters consist of nine players and the salary cap is $60,000, which averages to roughly $6,667 per player. To give you an idea of the range for Wednesday's games, Timberwolves PF Kevin Love ($11,600) has the contest's highest salary while many are tied for the lowest at the game-minimum salary ($3,500).

There are a number of benefits compared to traditional full-season re-draft leagues, such as:
  • you don't have to worry about being saddled by players sidelined by injury;
  • having a late pick doesn't rule out owning studs like Kevin Durant or LeBron James;
  • you get the instant gratification of winning your league(s) that night.
And you know that enthusiasm you have after drafting your fantasy team(s)? Well, you get to experience that feeling on a nightly basis with daily fantasy basketball.

OK, with the preliminary stuff out of the way, here are some value plays to consider for Tuesday (March 25th) FanDuel leagues:

PG - Mike Conley, Memphis Grizzlies (at UTA), $6,800: Conley has scored 31-plus fantasy points in three of his past four games and the off game was 28.8 vs. the Heat, who allow the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing point guards. During that four-game span, Conley is averaging 18.5 points, 5.75 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 2.0 steals per contest. The Jazz have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Brandon Jennings, Detroit Pistons (vs. CLE), $6,100: Jennings is tough to trust (example: 2.2 fantasy points in 14 minutes on Mar. 21st). That said, he has 40.9 and 25.2 fantasy points in his past two games and has averaged 17.0 points, 7.5 assists, 4.0 rebounds and 1.5 points in those two contests. The Cavs have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Darren Collison, Los Angeles Clippers (at NOP), $5,600: Even with Jamal Crawford back for two games, Collison has played 26 and 34 minutes and scored 20.5 and 28.4 fantasy points, respectively, in those two games. The Pelicans have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.

PG - Mario Chalmers, Miami Heat (at IND), $5,100: While it's not necessarily a great matchup (from a fantasy perspective, that is), Chalmers has been playing well lately. Over his past four games, he has averaged 12.75 points, 6.0 assists, 3.0 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game.

PG - Jarrett Jack, Cleveland Cavaliers (at DET), $5,000: Jack has 31-plus fantasy points in three of his past five games, which coincides with the timeframe that Kyrie Irving has missed. During that span, Jack has averaged 16.6 points, 5.8 assists and 4.2 rebounds in over 38 minutes per game. Over the past 15 days, only the Lakers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing point guards.

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SG - Dion Waiters, Cleveland Cavaliers (at DET), $6,000: With Irving out, Waiters has played in at least 40 minutes in five consecutive games. During that span, Waiters is averaging 37.32 fantasy points per game with a line of 23.8 points, 6.4 assists, 3.6 rebounds and 1.0 steals per game.

SG - Rodney Stuckey, Detroit Pistons (vs. CLE), $4,300: With the exception of Saturday's six-point performance, Stuckey has scored at least 18 (real) points and 21.9 fantasy points in four of his past five games.

SG - Tim Hardaway Jr., New York Knicks (at SAC), $3,700: Hardaway's fantasy output can be wildly inconsistent, but he scored 23.7 fantasy points against the Lakers last night and now has 20-something fantasy points in four of his past seven outings. Only the Lakers have allowed more fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season than the Lakers.

SF - Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio Spurs (vs. DEN), $6,700: My only concern with Leonard is the potential for Poppovich to severely limit Leonard's (or any of his player's) minutes. Other than that, the matchup is great — the Nuggets allow the sixth-most fantasy points to SFs — and Leonard has an all-around game. Over his past 10 games, he is averaging 14.4 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.1 blocks per outing.

SF - Luol Deng, Cleveland Cavaliers (at DET), $6,000: Deng went off last night with 19 points, six rebounds, seven assists, a block and a steal, which was good for nearly 40 fantasy points (39.7 to be exact). The Pistons have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season.

SF - DeMarre Carroll, Atlanta Hawks (at MIN), $5,900: Carroll has scored at least 25 fantasy points in each of his past three games. During that three-game run, he has averaged 14.33 points, 5.0 rebounds and a whopping 3.33 steals per game. The T'Wolves have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this year.

SF - P.J. Tucker, Phoenix Suns (at WAS), $5,500: Tucker has an underrated game and he has scored 20.2, 26.6 and 31.2 fantasy points in his past three games. Over his past nine games, he has averaged 11.44 points, 7.22 rebounds and 2.22 steals per game. The Wizards have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to small forwards this season, but they have been more generous recently: fifth-most over the past 15 days.

PF - Amar'e Stoudemire, New York Knicks (at SAC), $5,400: Stoudemire scored 16 points last night, but he added just two rebounds, which is a seven-game low. Tonight's matchup isn't as favorable as last night's against the Lakers, but the Kings have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this year.

PF - Trevor Booker, Washington Wizards (vs. PHO), $4,100: Booker has been a steady contributor with more than 20 fantasy points in four consecutive games. He has scored in double figures in three of those games and has averaged 6.25 rebounds, 1.25 blocks and 1.25 steals per game over that stretch.

PF - Jonas Jerebko, Detroit Pistons (vs. CLE), $3,900: After a surprise 22-point, nine-rebound performance with two steals on Saturday, Jerebko had a more modest but reasonably productive outing against the Jazz with seven points, eight rebounds and a steal. He has played 24-plus minutes in each of his past two games.

PF - Drew Gooden, Washington Wizards (vs. PHO), $3,500: With a contest-minimum salary, Gooden has been productive even with modest minutes. Despite getting less than 20 minutes in each of his past two games, Gooden has extended his streak of games with 20-plus fantasy points to five games. The first three games of that span, Gooden had more than 30 fantasy points each game with 26-28 minutes per contest.

C - Tiago Splitter, San Antonio Spurs (vs. DEN), $5,400: Bigs facing the Nuggets always tend to do well as Denver has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. That said, Splitter followed up a huge game (17 points, 14 rebounds, three assists) of 41.3 fantasy points with a DNP against the Sixers. I expect him to play tonight (and enough minutes to be productive), but guessing Poppovich's distribution of minutes is never an easy task.

C - Gorgui Dieng, Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. ATL), $5,100: If Nikola Pekovic misses another game, look for Dieng to continue his highly productive play. Dieng has four double-doubles (including a 20-20 game) over his past five games. During that stretch, he has averaged 12.2 points, 13.8 rebounds, 1.2 blocks and 1.2 steals per game.

C - Timofey Mozgov, Denver Nuggets (at SAS), $4,300: With J.J. Hickson (torn ACL) out for the season, Mozgov played a season-high 32:25 in his most recent game. Mozgov finished the game with 12 points, nine rebounds and a block for 23.3 fantasy points. The Spurs have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season.

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