Saturday, January 24, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 24th)

More so than in most nights, there is not much offensive firepower in tonight's five-game NBA slate.

No game has an over-under greater than 196.0 and only the Memphis Grizzlies (103.5) and Washington Wizards (100.5) are projected to score at least 100 points based on Vegas odds.

In addition, the Grizzlies are 17-point favorites over the Sixers so we could see their starters on the bench for most or all of the fourth quarter.

Moreover, there are no $10,000 players tonight and Portland's Damian Lillard ($9,400) is the highest-priced player. With all of the team's injuries, his usage rate should be off the charts even if the matchup against the Wizards is difficult. Washington's John Wall ($9,200) and Charlotte's Kemba Walker ($9,000) are the only other options priced at $9,000-plus.

[Update: LaMarcus Aldridge will postpone surgery and play tonight vs. Wizards.]

With an average salary of $6,250 per player on DraftKings, you'll still need to identify some values in order to play guys like Lillard or Wall. As usual, we will highlight some players we like that are priced at $6,500 or less in order to help you uncover some value.

With that said, here are some DraftKings values for Saturday's NBA games:

PG - Jarrett Jack, Brooklyn Nets (at UTA), $6,000: With Deron Williams (rib) ruled out at least until Monday, Jack will get as many minutes as he can handle. In a tough matchup against Chris Paul and the Clippers, Jack had just 17.25 fantasy points on Thursday. Prior to that, however, he had averaged 32.56 fantasy points in his previous nine games.

PG - Langston Galloway, New York Knicks (at CHA), $4,100: Another start with at least 30 minutes for Galloway and another 30-point fantasy performance. With starts in the team's past three games, Galloway has scored a very consistent and productive 32.25, 32.25 and 32.5 fantasy points, respectively. For as long as he's starting and priced under $5,000, Galloway has become close to a must-start. And with Jose Calderon (knee) out tonight, that only further assists Galloway's fantasy production.

PG - Dante Exum, Utah Jazz (vs. BKN), $3,200: With Exum getting the start over Trey Burke on Thursday, he played a season-high 35 minutes and finished with 23.5 fantasy points. Exum knocked down five of 10 three-pointers for 15 points and added five assists. Exum is averaging an extremely low 0.56 fantasy points per minute on the season, but he should reach and exceed value assuming he gets more than 30 minutes again.

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SG - Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (vs. DET), $5,300: As difficult as it is to trust Jason Kidd, The Alphabet is productive when given minutes and he has averaged 31 minutes and 28 fantasy points over his past three games. Contributing in a variety of ways, he has averaged 11.7 points, 4.7 boards, 2.7 assists and 3.3 steals per game during that span. In addition, the Pistons have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season.

SG - Courtney Lee, Memphis Grizzlies (vs. PHI), $3,800: After taking double-digit shot attempts in five consecutive games, Lee was 0-for-3 on Wednesday against the Raptors. Even so, he still finished with 16.75 fantasy points. In his previous five games, he scored a minimum of 21.5 fantasy points with an average of 24.2 fantasy points per game. While he has a low ceiling, Lee should easily reach 5x salary (19.0) against the Sixers, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards.

SF - Jeff Green, Memphis Grizzlies (vs. PHI), $5,100: Green had a disappointing performance (11.5 fantasy points) on Wednesday, but a matchup against the Sixers is the perfect recipe for a bounce-back performance. In his previous three games, Green averaged exactly 30 fantasy points per game.

SF - Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, Philadelphia 76ers (at MEM), $3,800: After missing a game, Mbah a Moute returned to the starting lineup and scored 10 points with five rebounds, two assists, a steal and a block on Friday night. Mbah a Moute has now reached 20 fantasy points in his past three games and despite the difficult matchup, he has a solid shot at reaching 5x (19.0) his salary if you're looking for some salary-cap relief.

PF - Nerlens Noel, Philadephia 76ers (at MEM), $5,100: After missing Wednesday's game with flu-like symptoms, Noel returned to drop 35.5 fantasy points last night. In order for Noel to reach 6x salary, he'll need to score 30.6 fantasy points tonight. Noel has scored more than that in four of his past five games and the Grizzlies have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards this season.

PF - Jason Smith, New York Knicks (at CHA), $3,900: Smith has played at least 32 minutes in each of the team's past three games and has scored a minimum of 25.5 fantasy points in those games including 33.75 last night. Although Amar'e Stoudemire, who missed last night's game, is available for tonight, Smith has a great chance to reach value at his salary.

C - Marcin Gortat, Washington Wizards (at POR), $5,500: The Polish Hammer has averaged less than 29 minutes over his past seven games with a couple of outings during that span of less than 20 fantasy points. That said, he has scored more than 33 fantasy points in two of his past three games and the Blazers front court has been decimated by injuries.

C - Zaza Pachulia, Milwaukee Bucks (vs. DET), $5,300: Pachulia gets a favorable matchup against the Pistons, who have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. Pachulia has scored at least 25 fantasy points in three consecutive games and in five of his past six games. In addition, he has posted five double-doubles in his past nine games, with 36-plus fantasy points in four of those nine games.

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