Sunday, January 25, 2015

Fantasy NBA DraftKings DFS Values (Jan. 25th)

On Saturday, no player had a higher salary than Portland's Damian Lillard ($9,400) and all of the games had an over-under of 196.0 or less.

What a difference a day makes!

For Sunday's slate of games, we have six different players priced at $10,000 or more with Anthony Davis ($11,100) priced the highest. And nine of the 11 Sunday games have an over-under of at least 200 with the Suns and Clippers leading the way at 222.0.

With an average available salary of $6,250 per player on DraftKings, identifying some values will be key if you're going to fit some of the high-priced studs into your lineup(s).

As usual, we will highlight some players we like that are priced at $6,500 or less in order to help you uncover some value.

With that said, here are some DraftKings values for Sunday's NBA games:

PG - Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (vs. IND), $5,500: Payton left Friday's game late with knee soreness and is considered questionable for tonight's game. If he plays, however, Payton has scored at least 28.5 -- and averaged 35.21 -- fantasy points in his past six games. During that span, the rookie has averaged 13.83 points, 8.33 assists, 4.17 rebounds and 2.33 steals per game.

PG - D.J. Augustin, Detroit Pistons (at TOR), $3,200: The devastating injury to Brandon Jennings (Achilles) last night will open up plenty of minutes for Augustin, who moves into the starting point guard spot. Augustin is averaging 0.82 fantasy points per minute and should easily see 30-plus minutes today, which makes him one of the top value plays of the day at any position.

PG - Jerryd Bayless, Milwaukee Bucks (at SA), $3,000: Bayless has played 20-plus minutes with 20-plus fantasy points in each of his past two games. In those two games, Bayless has dished out nine and eight assists, respectively. Bayless provides some salary-cap relief at the position-minimum salary, but I'll have much more Augustin than Bayless today.

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SG - Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards (at DEN), $6,300: Given Beal's inconsistency, he's better suited as a tournament play than for cash games. Over his past eight games, however, Beal has scored at least 26 fantasy points in all six games that he has played at least 30 minutes. During that eight-game span (including the two duds), Beal has averaged 13.38 points, 1.5 three's, 4.5 rebounds, 4.25 assists and a steal per game. Given the favorable matchup against the Nuggets, who allow the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing two guards and rank fourth in the league in pace, Beal has 40-point upside Sunday.

SG - Eric Gordon, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. DAL), $5,700: With Jrue Holiday out for a few more weeks, Gordon should continue to be a strong option although his price is beginning to creep up. Over his past nine games, Gordon has averaged nearly 30 fantasy points (29.64) with an average of 16.3 points, 2.11 three's, 4.78 assists and 3.22 rebounds per game with a steal in eight of those nine games.

SG - Kyle Korver, Atlanta Hawks (vs. MIN), $4,800: As 18.5-point favorites, the Hawks may rest some starters, but the matchup is otherwise as good as it gets. No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing shooting guards this season than the Timberwolves. Because of the likelihood of a blowout, I'll avoid all of the higher-priced options just in case, but the risk with Korver is relatively low even if he plays only three quarters given his sub-$5,000 salary.

SG - Wayne Ellington, Los Angeles Lakers (vs. HOU), $3,600: With Kobe Bryant out for the rest of the season, Ellington will be one of the biggest beneficiaries. Ellington has 20-plus fantasy points in back-to-back games and should reach value today while providing owners with some salary-cap relief.

SF - Paul Pierce, Washington Wizards (at DEN), $4,600: I almost never play Pierce, but he has been productive in his past two games with at least 31 fantasy points in each. In those two games, he has averaged 16.5 points, 2.5 three's, 9.0 rebounds and a steal per game. Especially for the contests that start at 6 p.m. and therefore exclude LeBron James and Kevin Durant, I'm not crazy about the small forward options today.

SF - P.J. Tucker, Phoenix Suns (vs. LAC), $4,200: As noted earlier, the Suns-Clippers game has today's highest over-under (222.0) and stacking this game is certainly a recommended course of action. Obviously, Tucker is far from the Suns' top option, but he's a cheap way to get additional exposure to a game loaded with this much fantasy upside. Tucker's production tends to be a bit inconsistent, but he has averaged 24.07 fantasy points per game over his past seven games. In addition, he doesn't need to score to be productive as he showed on Wednesday with three real points and 36.75 fantasy points.

PF - Thaddeus Young, Minnesota Timberwolves (at ATL), $6,000: Young had just 21 fantasy points on Friday, but he had scored more than 30 fantasy points in each of his previous four games. Over his past five games, he is averaging 16.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 1.4 steals per game.

PF - Nene Hilario, Washington Wizards (at DEN), $5,400: Nene returns to Denver, where he has spent the majority of his career. The Nuggets really struggle to defend bigs as they allow the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards and Nene has been productive recently. Not only does he have at least 20 fantasy points in nine of 10 games, but he has averaged 31.88 over his past four games.

PF - Brandon Bass, Boston Celtics (at GS), $4,400: Whether or not the Celtics are showcasing Bass for a trade, he's become nearly a must-start as long as he's still a Celtic with his low price point. Over his past four games, Bass has averaged 15.75 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.25 assists and 1.25 steals per game. And he's been especially good in his past two games with 38.0 and 43.75 fantasy points, respectively.

PF - Patrick Patterson, Toronto Raptors (vs. DET), $4,000: Patterson has been playing well and even if he doesn't start (although he started the second half on Friday), Two-Patt should be able to reach value. In his past three games, he's averaging 10.67 points and 11.67 boards per game with a total of 11 three-pointers in those three games. (DraftKings offers a bonus for double-doubles and three-pointers.)

C - Marcin Gortat, Washington Wizards (at DEN), $5,500: The Polish Hammer is coming off a sub-par performance (13.75 fantasy points), but he is another Wizard that is a solid value today. As noted with Nene, the Nuggets struggle to defend the low post and they have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers.

C - Timofey Mozgov, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. OKC), $5,200: Mozgov has now posted double-doubles in three consecutive games. During that span, he's averaging 15.0 points, 12.0 rebounds, 1.67 blocked shots and 35.83 fantasy points per game.

C - Alex Len, Phoenix Suns (vs. LAC), $4,600: The potential of early foul trouble against the talented Clippers front court is a concern, but Len has had a couple of productive outings the first two times he has faced the Clippers this season. Even though he had 11 personal fouls in those two games, he has averaged 15.5 points and 9.0 rebounds in 26 minutes per contest.

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