Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Fantasy NBA FanDuel DFS Values (Jan. 27)

Earlier today, I posted some value plays that I like on DraftKings and now I turn my attention to FanDuel.

While both sites create their salaries independently of each other, there will always be plenty of overlap as recent and expected production and matchups drive the majority of my recommendations.

With that said, here are some FanDuel values (salaries of $7,000 or less) for Tuesday's NBA games:

PG - Derrick Rose, Chicago Bulls (at GS), $7,000: On a night with six games, there are seven point guards with a higher price than D-Rose. Rose has scored less than 30 fantasy points in three of his past four games, but he has averaged slightly more than 35 FanDuel points (35.08) over his past eight games. Over that eight-game span, Rose is averaging 22.63 points, 5.75 assists and steal in nearly 33 minutes per game.

PG - D.J. Augustin, Detroit Pistons (vs. CLE), $6,000: In his first start since Brandon Jennings (Achilles) was lost for the season, Augustin scored 35 points with eight assists and finished with 49.8 fantasy points. Duplicating Sunday's numbers is unrealistic, but Augustin gets a decent matchup against Kyrie Irving and should be able to score 30 fantasy points to reach 5x value.

PG - Beno Udrih, Memphis Grizzlies (at DAL), $3,900: Depending on the status of Mike Conley, who is questionable with a wrist injury, Udrih could see expanded minutes. Against the Magic last night, Udrih scored 31.9 fantasy points with 15 points, five assists and four steals. Since this game doesn't tip off until 8:30 PM, it's possible that we won't have a definitive answer on Conley's status before the 7 PM lineup lock.

* FanDuel's $250K NBA Slam: $250,000 in prizes including $25,000 to 1st in tonight's NBA Slam tourney ($25 entry).

SG - Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards (at LAL), $6,000: More of a tournament play based on his inconsistency, Beal has 40-point upside in a plus matchup against the Lakers. Even with Kobe Bryant, the Lakers are one of the worst teams in the league, but the Wizards are only eight-point favorites tonight as one of the potential concerns with Beal is that this game turns into a blowout and he sits the fourth quarter.

SG - Jordan Clarkson, Los Angeles Lakers (vs. WAS), $3,500: Clarkson has actually started at point guard in each of the past two games and the combo guard should continue to get the start at the point. Clarkson has played 29 and 27 minutes in those starts, respectively. While the production has left a lot to be desired in those two starts, punting at shooting guard with a minimum-salary player starting at point guard isn't necessarily a bad idea.

SF - Paul Pierce, Washington Wizards (at LAL), $5,100: Pierce has played at least 30 minutes and scored a minimum of 27.1 fantasy points in each of his past three games. While he lacks upside, Pierce should be able to reach value in a favorable matchup against the Lakers.

SF - James Ennis, Miami Heat (vs. MIL), $3,600: Luol Deng would have been one of my favorite plays at small forward, but he missed shoutaround and is doubtful with a sore calf. In the last game that Deng missed (Jan. 21st), Ennis (28 minutes, 20.4 FanDuel points) played more minutes and was more productive than Danny Granger (20 minutes, 8.2 FD points) and is a solid value play.

PF - Nene Hilario, Washington Wizards (at LAL), $5,700: Over his past five games, he has averaged 28.8 fantasy points per game, which would put him above 5x salary for tonight. Nene has averaged a robust 1.04 fantasy points per minute during that stretch. In addition, the Lakers rank in the bottom 10 in the league in rebounding differential.

C - Hassan Whiteside, Miami Heat (vs. MIL), $6,000: Playing 25 minutes off the bench on Sunday, Whiteside did maximum damage with his allotment of minutes by posting the rare triple-double with blocked shots. In his past eight games, Whiteside has played at least 24 minutes in four games and he has a double-double (or a triple-double) in all four of those games.

C - Timofey Mozgov, Cleveland Cavaliers (at DET), $5,100: Before Sunday's modest performance (two points, six rebounds), Mozgov had three consecutive double-doubles with at least 27 fantasy points in each game. Meanwhile, the Pistons have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing centers over the past three weeks based on stats from Rotogrinders.

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